Pages

Friday, October 17, 2014

NFL Week 7 Picks

Missed last week folks I apologize for that.  Did my picks still on the daily talk show I do but forgot to post them.  It wasn't a great week at 7-6-1 but the Week 5 picks I was on FIRE!!! 11-3.  18-9-1 the past two weeks, get 'em while they're hot! The picks are in bold:

New York Jets @ New England- This game I thought would be a blowout.  I was wrong in that regard as the Jets offense was able to move the football pretty well and Geno Smith showed what kind of Quarterback he could possibly be.  But it wasn't enough.  They lose on a blocked FG.  THE most Jets way to lose a football game.

·      New Orleans @ Detroit- The Saints are without Jimmy Graham this weekend and the Lions pass rush looks to be legit.  I expect them to hurry Drew Brees and be able to keep this game low scoring.  The key will be how Matt Stafford and Joe Lombardi attack a Saints D that has been one of the league’s worst giving up 379 plus yards per game. They’re also allowing their opponents to score 28 points per game. 

·      Carolina @ Green Bay- Cam Newton has been scary the last few weeks.  Completing 58% of his passes for 736 yards 5 TD 1 INT and last week 17 car  for 107 yards and 1 TD.  The problem? A shaken up Kelvin Benjamin and below average receiving core against a good Packers secondary.  Plus Aaron Rodgers must be licking his chops to go against that Panthers D. 

·      Atlanta @ Baltimore- I thought Atlanta was going to be better than they are and the main reason they’re not is the two concerns heading into the season. Offensive line and defense.  Baltimore is built to exploit both. 

·      Tennessee @ Washington- The Washington football team actually gave the Seahawks a game their last time out.  They’re at home against an iffy Tennessee team.  They’ve got to pick up a win here right?.....Hello? Anyone?

·      Seattle @ St. Louis- The Seahawks have been knocked from their perch atop the league over the first six weeks with two losses on their resume.  Doesn’t mean that St. Louis will continue that trend.  Austin Davis has played well but expect that Seattle defense to be MAD this week after people have been trashing them because of the loss to Dallas.

·      Cleveland @ Jacksonville- The winless watch has begun for the Jaguars and they will be facing a Browns team that is the surprise of the league through the first 6 weeks. Jacksonville drops to 0-7.

·      Cincy @ Indy- The Bengals defense is actually worrying me now.  The past two weeks allowing 45 and 37 respectively.  They’ve faced good offenses for sure in the Pats and Panthers but it’s not getting any easier this week going up against Andrew Luck.  Luck wins.

·      Minnesota at Buffalo- The Vikings defense has shown at times flashes of what Mike Zimmer can do with any kind of visible talent.  I also like Matt Asiata and Jerrick Mckinnon out of the backfield and Teddy hasn’t made too many rookie mistakes. Buffalo I don’t trust and Kyle Orton I don’t trust.  

·      Miami @ Chicago- The Dolphins were the “surprise” team expected to contend with the Pats this year for the AFC East. Oops.  The Bears offense will do just fine against a defense that has been underwhelming. 

·      Kansas City @ San Diego- I’m all in on Phillip Rivers and the Chargers offense. The Chiefs are starting to see the issues of having not much in the way of weapons outside of Jamal Charles.

·      Arizona @ Oakland- The Cardinals defense will shut down a mediocre Raiders offense.  Bruce Arians continues to be a magician on the offensive side of the football.

·      New York Giants @ Dallas- The Giants looked worse than awful if that’s even possible last week against Philly in being shutout.  Does Dallas have the same kind of pass rush? No. Do they have a better running game than Philly? Yeah.  The Giants were gashed by the Eagles last week and will be again this week.

·      San Francisco @ Denver- The Niners had issues with Austin Davis getting the ball out quickly on Monday night. Now they go against the master of getting the ball out quickly. With a short week to prepare and in the altitude that presents a major disadvantage for the Niners.


·      Houston @ Pittsburgh- I don’t know how much more JJ Watt can do to help his team win. Luckily for him he’s playing the Steelers who are struggling mightily this season.  Give me the Texans on the road. 

   This Week: 1-0
   Last Week: 7-6-1
   Season: 43-31-1

Monday, October 6, 2014

NFL Week 5 Picks

Rough week last week but we're still over .500 on the season and we'll see if we can get hot again this week.  To the picks!

Minnesota @ Green Bay
Gave this out on the show yesterday and I'm not surprised.  Minnesota starting Christian Ponder on a short week and it showed. We're 1-0 to start this week.
Winner: Green Bay

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
The Eagles offensive line is atrocious and sorely missing Jason Kelce and Evan Mathis. They won't get those guys back until later but they do return Lane Johnson to the line-up so now at least 3/5 of the starters will be together. They'll need it against a terrific St. Louis front 4.
Winner: Philadelphia

Buffalo @ Detroit
Jim Schwartz's defense comes to town to try and stop a Lions offense that's getting more unbalanced by the week with so many running backs injured. Kyle Orton gets the start at QB. This smells and feels like a trap game.  I think the Lions win, but it will be closer than their fans want it to be.
Winner: Detroit

Chicago @ Carolina
The Panthers have shown some holes after starting 2-0, and the Bears are coming off a bad Jay game.  That usually means a rebound week for Cutler and I think the Bears take this one.
Winner: Chicago

Cleveland @ Tennessee
Woof.  This is a coin flip game for me.  Jake Locker hasn't improved this season so far and Cleveland is a couple of plays away from being 3-0.
Winner: Cleveland

Atlanta @ New York Giants
It seems as if the Giants are starting to figure out this offense and they finally get Odell Beckham Jr added to the line-up after the world's longest hamstring injury.  Atlanta's line is in trouble I'm taking the Giants
Winner: New York Giants

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
The mystique and mythology surrounding Rob Ryan as a D-coordinator is wearing off. He has plenty of talent on this D yet they've been awful.  But they're at home.  It seems like they always find a way to win in the Superdome.
Winner: New Orleans

Houston @ Dallas
After looking awful Week 1, Dallas has ripped off three straight and I have to tip my cap. I knew the O-line would be good but I wasn't sure if Jason Garrett would actually commit to the run.  He has and the Cowboys have benefitted. I like Houston and they're definitely a better team than they were last year but I'll take the 'Boys at home.
Winner: Dallas

Baltimore @ Indy
The Ravens are better than I thought and Justin Forsett along with Lorenzo Taliaferro have made everyone forget about a certain #27 with their production on the ground. But Andrew Luck and this offense has been on fire and I expect them to continue to put it in Luck's hands. Some magic from him wins this game.
Winner: Indy

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville
Blake Bortles had a solid first start but he's behind and awful offensive line that makes every pass rush look like Pro Bowlers. The Steelers need this win after a tough loss against Tampa last week.
Winner: Pittsburgh

Arizona @ Denver
The Cardinals are the darling of many NFL people right now, their secondary is legit.  But they're in Mile High for this one, and Denver's defense actually may win them this game by confusing or unsettling Drew Stanton.
Winner: Denver

Kansas City @ San Francisco
Both teams are coming off needed victories.  Both teams have shown defensively that they can shut down their opponents.  I think this one comes down to QB's and if Kaepernick takes care of the ball, the Niners win.
Winner: Niners

New York Jets @ San Diego
The Jets will give up on Geno Smith.  And that's the wrong move. Mike Vick is not the answer. Phillip Rivers will test that Jets secondary that got shredded by Matt Stafford last week.
Winner: San Diego

Cincinnati @ New England
This is the trendy upset pick because this always seems to be the type of game New England wins.  Everybody counting them out leaving them for dead.  I understand why people are picking New England.  I think they're defense is better than they showed on Monday night. But I can't see help for the offense. Julian Edelman is the #1 receiver. They can't get separation and Cincy's corners are up there among the best.
Winner: Cincy

Seattle @ Washington
This won't be a blowout.  Seattle isn't great on the road, and Washington isn't as bad as they showed last Thursday.  But the Seahawks still win.
Winner: Seattle

This Week: 1-0
Last Week: 6-7
Season: 25-22