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Monday, October 6, 2014

NFL Week 5 Picks

Rough week last week but we're still over .500 on the season and we'll see if we can get hot again this week.  To the picks!

Minnesota @ Green Bay
Gave this out on the show yesterday and I'm not surprised.  Minnesota starting Christian Ponder on a short week and it showed. We're 1-0 to start this week.
Winner: Green Bay

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
The Eagles offensive line is atrocious and sorely missing Jason Kelce and Evan Mathis. They won't get those guys back until later but they do return Lane Johnson to the line-up so now at least 3/5 of the starters will be together. They'll need it against a terrific St. Louis front 4.
Winner: Philadelphia

Buffalo @ Detroit
Jim Schwartz's defense comes to town to try and stop a Lions offense that's getting more unbalanced by the week with so many running backs injured. Kyle Orton gets the start at QB. This smells and feels like a trap game.  I think the Lions win, but it will be closer than their fans want it to be.
Winner: Detroit

Chicago @ Carolina
The Panthers have shown some holes after starting 2-0, and the Bears are coming off a bad Jay game.  That usually means a rebound week for Cutler and I think the Bears take this one.
Winner: Chicago

Cleveland @ Tennessee
Woof.  This is a coin flip game for me.  Jake Locker hasn't improved this season so far and Cleveland is a couple of plays away from being 3-0.
Winner: Cleveland

Atlanta @ New York Giants
It seems as if the Giants are starting to figure out this offense and they finally get Odell Beckham Jr added to the line-up after the world's longest hamstring injury.  Atlanta's line is in trouble I'm taking the Giants
Winner: New York Giants

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
The mystique and mythology surrounding Rob Ryan as a D-coordinator is wearing off. He has plenty of talent on this D yet they've been awful.  But they're at home.  It seems like they always find a way to win in the Superdome.
Winner: New Orleans

Houston @ Dallas
After looking awful Week 1, Dallas has ripped off three straight and I have to tip my cap. I knew the O-line would be good but I wasn't sure if Jason Garrett would actually commit to the run.  He has and the Cowboys have benefitted. I like Houston and they're definitely a better team than they were last year but I'll take the 'Boys at home.
Winner: Dallas

Baltimore @ Indy
The Ravens are better than I thought and Justin Forsett along with Lorenzo Taliaferro have made everyone forget about a certain #27 with their production on the ground. But Andrew Luck and this offense has been on fire and I expect them to continue to put it in Luck's hands. Some magic from him wins this game.
Winner: Indy

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville
Blake Bortles had a solid first start but he's behind and awful offensive line that makes every pass rush look like Pro Bowlers. The Steelers need this win after a tough loss against Tampa last week.
Winner: Pittsburgh

Arizona @ Denver
The Cardinals are the darling of many NFL people right now, their secondary is legit.  But they're in Mile High for this one, and Denver's defense actually may win them this game by confusing or unsettling Drew Stanton.
Winner: Denver

Kansas City @ San Francisco
Both teams are coming off needed victories.  Both teams have shown defensively that they can shut down their opponents.  I think this one comes down to QB's and if Kaepernick takes care of the ball, the Niners win.
Winner: Niners

New York Jets @ San Diego
The Jets will give up on Geno Smith.  And that's the wrong move. Mike Vick is not the answer. Phillip Rivers will test that Jets secondary that got shredded by Matt Stafford last week.
Winner: San Diego

Cincinnati @ New England
This is the trendy upset pick because this always seems to be the type of game New England wins.  Everybody counting them out leaving them for dead.  I understand why people are picking New England.  I think they're defense is better than they showed on Monday night. But I can't see help for the offense. Julian Edelman is the #1 receiver. They can't get separation and Cincy's corners are up there among the best.
Winner: Cincy

Seattle @ Washington
This won't be a blowout.  Seattle isn't great on the road, and Washington isn't as bad as they showed last Thursday.  But the Seahawks still win.
Winner: Seattle

This Week: 1-0
Last Week: 6-7
Season: 25-22 

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