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Friday, September 26, 2014

Week 4 NFL Picks

We're at the quarter pole of the season and starting to learn what to expect from most teams.  I had a good week last week let's see if we can keep the good mojo going.

New York Giants @ Washington
Gave this pick out last night on Twitter, road teams were 0-3 but I forgot to incorporate the inevitable "Kirk Cousins hype train flying off the tracks" potential.  0-1 to start the week hopefully I can recover.
Winner: Washington (WRONG!!!!! Thanks Kirk)

Green Bay @ Chicago
If the Packers can't get the running game going against this Chicago D I don't know who they will be able to get going against.  This one's at Chicago, but the Bears are on a short week.  Rodgers I have a six letter word for you: S-T-U-P-I-D as in don't make me look stupid.
Winner: Green Bay

Detroit @ New York Jets
I said it last week with the Jets, the run defense is great, the secondary is suspect.  Coincidentally the Lions like the passing game.  And I have 0 let me be clear 0 trust in Geno Smith.  Even factoring in the "Lions losing a game they shouldn't" potential I'm taking Detroit.
Winner: Detroit

Buffalo @ Houston
These two teams I really don't like the QB's.  Fun fact: EJ Manuel is actually completing a smaller percentage of his passes than Ryan Fitzpatrick this year. But Ryan Fitzpatrick looked putrid last week. Ugh I'm flipping a coin.
Winner: Buffalo

Tennessee @ Indy
The Titans have scored 17 points since putting up 26 in Week 1. That's almost Jaguars-esque. Indy should probably be 2-1 and I think they'll even the record this weekend.
Winner: Indy

Carolina @ Baltimore
Remember when Steve Smith said this: "there's gonna be blood and guts everywhere".  There's legitimate blood shed potential here. I don't put anything past Steve Smith. Dude's crazy.
Winner: Baltimore

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh
Tampa has to play better this week right? I mean there has to be some kind of pride. (Thinking) You're right this is the Bucs we're talking about.
Winner: Pittsburgh

Miami @ Oakland
Technically a home game for Oakland, but it's in London.  The Raiders have actually not played terribly through the first 3 weeks while Miami is looking to go into "dumpster fire" mode early this year with Coach Joe Philbin refusing to name Ryan Tannehill the starter.
Winner: Oakland

Jacksonville @ San Diego
We'll get to see Bortles for his first start in a meaningful game. Problem is, he can't play defense too.
Winner: San Diego

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Teddy Ball-game gets his first start as well with Cassel out.  He was good last week in relief and Atlanta's D hasn't been stellar (I'm ignoring the Bucs game because they're barely an NFL team after last week).  But the Falcons offense is scary.
Winner: Atlanta

Philadelphia @ San Francisco
Will I continue to pick against the Eagles in hopes that I can trick the universe into reverse psychology wins? Yep I will. Plus San Fran can run the football which the Eagles have apparently forgotten how to stop this year.
Winner: Niners

New Orleans @ Dallas
Normally I pick against the Saints on the road but the good news for Brees and company is they will be playing in basically a dome.  This one could be in the 40's as neither D is great.
Winner: New Orleans

New England @ Kansas City
Is Brady still an elite QB? Hasn't looked like it so far this year.  I do like the Pats D though and KC is pretty vanilla on offense.
Winner: New England

This Week: 0-1
Last Week: 10-6 
Season: 17-15


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